HUB 2050

Cut the long haul in two.

Three hub sites where one twelve-hour flight becomes two of six — flown by the narrowbodies airlines already own.

Check any pair

Pick two cities.

See how the trip splits, and how far it is.

Try



How this is calculated
Distance. Great circle on a sphere. Block time: distance ÷ 460 kt, plus 36 minutes per sector and 90 minutes to connect.
Narrowbody sectors. Both under 4,000 nautical miles — roughly a loaded A321XLR — and neither more than twice the other.
Russian airspace. Closed to EU, UK, US and Canadian carriers since 2022. The tool draws a rough outline of Russia and re-routes any sector that crosses it via fixed waypoints. A sketch, not a flight plan. Chinese and Gulf carriers still overfly.
Operating hubs compared. .
Not modelled. Winds, ATC routing, Ukrainian airspace, demand.

Three sites.

Each sits where a long route wants to break in half. South Greenland goes first.

North America – Europe First corridor

South Greenland

60.7°N 46.0°W

The midpoint of the Atlantic. Almost every North America–Europe pair breaks into two similar sectors here. This round’s talks and study start with this corridor.

542 of 552

North America–Europe pairs become two similar narrowbody sectors.

Europe – Asia

Central Asia

41.3°N 66.0°E

On the Uzbekistan–Kazakhstan border, north of Aydar Lake. Shared by two countries, owned by neither — under the flight paths that now go around Russia.

306 of 384

Europe–Asia pairs become two similar narrowbody sectors.

North America – Asia

Adak Island

51.9°N 176.6°W

US territory in the Aleutians, on the line between East Asia and North America. The runway is already there.

176 of 368

North America–Asia pairs become two similar narrowbody sectors.

The differentiator

Built for the aircraft airlines already fly.

The 737 MAX and A321neo are the most common and most efficient airliners in the world, with more than 12,000 on order. Legacy long-haul needs a widebody and a thick route. A midpoint hub turns one widebody route into two narrowbody sectors.

A321XLR reach · 4,000 nm737 MAX 8 · 3,000 nmCity within reachBeyond

Narrowbody reach from

Examples · tap one to draw it

    The fleet, to scale

    Top view · same scale

    Same seats, more days

    About 1,200 seats a week either way. Four departures become seven.

    Already on order

    12,000+

    737 family 4,888 and A320neo family 7,461 unfilled orders, end of June 2026. Each dot is 100 aircraft.

    Same demand, more flights. Routes a widebody could never fill, flown every day by the aircraft every airline already operates.

    What a hub makes possible

    Connectivity builds cities.

    01

    Connectivity

    Every bank of flights brings people, cargo and money through one point, several times a day.

    02

    Activity

    Airlines, maintenance, logistics, hotels, finance and services settle where the flights are. Dubai and Singapore grew from exactly this.

    03

    A compact city

    A hub that runs all day needs people living beside it. On land that is cheap today, that is a planned, compact city — and real-estate value that does not exist yet.

    Energy, industry and transport come later. This round is about the connection.

    The first

    $100,000

    Forms the foundation, opens the conversations, pays for the analysis.

    $25,000 Foundation
    $35,000 Talks
    $40,000 Analysis
    Each square is $1,000


    25% of the round

    $25,000

    Foundation

    A counterparty needs something to sign with.

    • Register the foundation
    • Governance and host-agreement outline
    • Accounts published at the end of the round

    35% of the round

    $35,000

    Talks

    The people who would have to say yes.

    • Airline network planners; one paid expert review
    • Greenland’s government and its airports company
    • Adak’s airport operator and landowner
    • Uzbek and Kazakh aviation and regional bodies
    • Travel for two or three meetings

    The output of this round is two letters — one from a host, one from an airline. Every institution we approach is listed publicly, with the reply.


    40% of the round

    $40,000

    Analysis

    The North Atlantic corridor study.

    • Airline traffic data licence
    • North Atlantic corridor study, 20–30 pages, within 90 days of the round closing
    • Public dataset — every pair, every assumption

    We publish what we find, including results we do not like.

    Raise less, and the order is foundation, talks, analysis. Whatever is funded gets done.

    The path

    Four steps, not four dates.

    Each step is paid for by what the step before it produced.

    1. 01

      You are here

      This round

      The foundation, the first talks, the North Atlantic corridor study.

      OutputTwo letters — one from a host, one from an airline.

    2. 02

      Host agreement

      Pre-feasibility with a host government, its airports company and an airline partner. Paid for by grants and partners, not by this round.

      OutputA signed host agreement.

    3. 03

      The zone

      The airport and the land around it get their own commercial rules. This is the step that makes serious capital possible.

      OutputA concession, or legislation.

    4. 04

      Build

      A development company, project finance, long leases on the land around the hub, and the first phase of the airport.

      OutputFirst flight.

    Step three looks different at each site. Greenland and Adak: a lease and an airport concession, under the government that is already there. Central Asia: a zone with its own commercial rules — Kazakhstan already runs one in Astana, the AIFC, on English common law.

    Back it.

    Any amount

    The corridor study and the dataset, the day they are published.

    From $500

    Your name in the study, if you want it there.

    From $1,000

    A call with me before the study is finalised.

    Patronage, not investment: no equity, no return, no token. The round opens in December 2026 — get on the list and you will have the tiers and the closing date before anyone else. Nothing is collected before the foundation is registered. Questions: contact.hub.organization@gmail.com.

    Raf Michaels

    From Poland, educated in England in finance, living in Guangzhou. Fascinated by one idea: a well-placed connection point does not just shorten trips — it builds a city.

    Not an aviation engineer — which is why the numbers are public and an expert is paid to check them. Break it if you can: contact.hub.organization@gmail.com, or @hubvision2050project on Substack.

    Not on this page

    A hub that works raises later questions — energy, industry, ground transport. We have views. This round does not pay for them.